Economy
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Deal Making
February 10, 2025
Economy

Just under 900 deals were announced in the U.S. in January. That compares with more than 1,200 transactions in the previous January and over 1,500 two years ago.

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AI Spend
February 7, 2025
Economy

Microsoft, Google and Meta Platforms have projected combined capital expenditures of at least $215 billion for their current fiscal years, an annual increase of more than 45%. Amazon.com didn’t provide a full-year estimate but indicated that total capex across its businesses is on course to grow to more than $100 billion, and said most of the increase will be for AI.

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Dry Powder
February 5, 2025
Economy

Opportunistic real-estate funds had $196.8 billion available at the end of last year, up from $179.9 billion at the end of 2020.

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PCE Inflation
February 4, 2025
Economy

After peaking above 5.6% in 2022, core PCE inflation fell to 2.6% last June but then reaccelerated. The Fed wants to see PCE inflation fall back to its 2% target, but in December, officials projected that still might take until 2027.

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Hybrid Bonds
February 3, 2025
Economy

All three major ratings firms provide equity credit for hybrid bond issuances, largely treating them as if they were made up of 50% equity—a boon to the issuer’s credit ratios and ratings. What makes the bonds equity-like is the option for companies to defer coupon payments, as well as the bonds’ ability to absorb losses in the event of a bankruptcy.

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Equity Funds Inflow
January 29, 2025
Economy

Investors poured $62.5 billion into U.S. equity mutual and exchange-traded funds in December, the highest monthly inflow on record.

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Equity Risk
January 27, 2025
Economy

The equity risk premium, defined as the gap between the S&P 500’s earnings yield and that of 10-year Treasurys, turned negative in late December for the first time since 2002 and sat last week at negative 0.15 percentage point.

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Public Pension PE
January 22, 2025
Economy

Public pension plans, university endowments and charitable foundations have about doubled their investments in private-equity funds since 2018. North American private-equity funds now manage some $4 trillion in assets.

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