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SASB Bonds
July 17, 2024
Featured

There are about $260 billion of the deals, known as single-asset, single-borrower bonds, that purchased skyscrapers, shopping centers and other properties. These so-called SASB bonds were meant to be ultrasafe, but the rate of loans at or near default has nearly tripled over two years, hitting 8.7% in 2024.

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Residential Evictions
July 15, 2024
Featured

Even with the higher eviction rates in several major cities, evictions more broadly have settled to roughly where they were before the pandemic. The first five months of the year had about 422,000 filings for eviction across the 33 cities and an additional 10 states tracked, down slightly from prepandemic norms in those same places.

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Real Estate Funds
July 1, 2024
Featured

Investors will redeem $16.5 billion from real-estate funds this year, compared with $1.5 billion in 2021. Meanwhile, new fundraising is expected to dwindle to $5.7 billion this year, compared with $34 billion in the funds’ peak year of 2021.

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Home Prices
June 27, 2024
Featured

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. national home price index, which controls for changes in the mix of homes, is up 51% since the end of 2019.

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Brookfield Mall Conversions
June 24, 2024
Featured

Brookfield Property Partners spent billions in 2018 to assume full ownership of mall-owner GGP when malls were out of favor on Wall Street. Executives at the firm defended this contrarian bet in part by saying that they would turn most of the company’s 125 malls into minicities with residences, offices or hotels as well as stores. Six years later, only two malls, in Atlanta and near Seattle, have been redeveloped in this way, with another two in North Carolina and Denver, in the pipeline.

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Agency MBS Yield
June 21, 2024
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The index of agency mortgage-backed securities, currently has a distribution yield of around 3.7%, according to FactSet. That is a reflection of the fact that after the pandemic boom of buying and refinancing, many people are still paying lower mortgage rates of around 3% or 4%.

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Mexican CRE
June 19, 2024
Featured

At least six bidders have been circling Terrafina in a flurry of offers for a Mexican company amid a boom in industrial real estate, as more companies seek space to export to the US. Hype around the “nearshoring” trend has sparked an equity issuance revival in Mexico’s stock market.

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Shelter Inflation
June 18, 2024
Featured

Shelter inflation, mostly a measure of rents that lags behind real market conditions by many months, was still running hot in May, with an annual rate of 5.4%.

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Calgary Conversion
June 13, 2024
Featured

Calgary, Alberta, has one of the most aggressive programs in North America to promote office to residential conversions. Facing an enormous hole in its property-tax base, Calgary in 2021 approved a conversion program featuring an unprecedented subsidy of 75 Canadian dollars a square foot, equivalent to $55 a square foot. Unlike many conversion programs in the U.S., Calgary’s plan has no major strings attached, such as an affordable-housing requirement.

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Restaurants
June 10, 2024
Featured

Food services accounted for more than 19% of all retail leases last year, rising in recent years to the highest proportion for any category since tracking began in 2007. Total restaurant sales are on track to top $1.1 trillion this year, a 5.4% increase from 2023’s record-high level.

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