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Venture Fundraising
February 20, 2023
Economy

Venture firms raised $20.6 billion in new funds in the fourth quarter. That was a 65% drop from the year-earlier quarter and the lowest fourth-quarter amount since 2013. The amount was also less than half the level raised in the preceding three months, the first time fundraising volumes decreased from the third to fourth quarter since 2009.

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Rate Outlook
February 15, 2023
Economy

Following the consumer-price print, derivatives markets showed the federal-funds rate peaking at 5.28% in August. Hopes that the Fed would cut rates several times this year faded with the benchmark rate forecast to end the year above 5.12%.

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Small-Cap Performance
January 30, 2023
Economy

Over the past 96 years, the returns for small-capitalization stocks starting in May of a midterm year through the same October averaged negative 2.3%. The return over the following six months has been positive 19.2%.

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Work Hours
January 26, 2023
Economy

The top-earning 10% of men in the U.S. labor market logged 77 fewer work hours in 2022, on average, than those in the same earnings group in 2019. That translates to 1.5 hours less time on the job each workweek, or a 3% reduction in hours. Over the same three-year period, the top-earning 10% of women cut back time at work by 29 hours, which translates to about half an hour less work each week, or a 1% reduction.

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Money-Market Inflows
January 25, 2023
Economy

Investors have added about $135 billion to global money-market funds over the past four weeks. That is the best stretch since the four-week period ended May 2020, when those funds logged roughly $175 billion in net inflows.

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Banks New Payment Wallet
January 23, 2023
Economy

Big banks are teaming up to launch a digital wallet that will allow shoppers to pay at merchants’ online checkout with a wallet that will be linked to their debit and credit cards. The digital wallet will be managed by Early Warning Services, the bank-owned company that operates money-transfer service Zelle will operate separately from Zelle.

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SPACs
January 20, 2023
Economy

The average announced SPAC merger value has fallen to about $200 million so far in January, down from more than $2 billion for much of 2021 during the sector’s peak.

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Hedge Fund Performance
January 19, 2023
Economy

For the first time since 2018, larger hedge funds outperformed smaller hedge funds. HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index, which gives equal weight to funds of all sizes, fell -4.25% in 2022, while the HFRI Asset Weighted Composite Index, which gives more weighting to the larger funds, rose: 0.97%.

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60/40 Portfolio
January 16, 2023
Economy

The classic way of building a portfolio—60% stocks and 40% bonds—had the worst return in nominal terms for a 60/40 portfolio since the financial crisis of 2008-9 and the worst in real terms in a calendar year since the Great Depression.

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Bank Profits
January 10, 2023
Economy

The major banks are expected to post some $28 billion in profits in the fourth quarter, down 15% from a year earlier.

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