Economy
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Ethereum Activity
August 22, 2025
Economy

Activity on Ethereum amounted to more than $1.2 trillion this year, compared with $960 billion during the same time frame last year. Most of the transactions involve tether and USD Coin, the two largest dollar-pegged stablecoins, as well as deposits and withdrawals to major exchanges such as Binance and Coinbase.

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Debt Consolidation
August 19, 2025
Economy

Personal-loan originations jumped 18% in the first quarter from a year earlier, bringing total balances to a record $257 billion, but relief can be temporary. A separate study found that while borrowers who consolidate card debt into personal loans initially reduce their card balances by an average of 57%, many refill those cards within 18 months.

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401(k) Allocations
August 14, 2025
Economy

Workers in their late 30s had 88% of their 401(k)s in stocks last year, versus 82% a decade earlier. Investors in their early 60s had 401(k) allocations to stocks of 60%, up from 57% a decade ago.

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Small Business Optimism
August 12, 2025
Economy

The small business optimism index, a gauge of sentiment among small firms, improved to 100.3 in July from 98.6 in June, taking it further above the 98 point that marks the index’s long-term average.

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Stock Buybacks
August 11, 2025
Economy

U.S. companies are projected to buyback more than $1.1 trillion worth of stock in 2025, which would mark an all-time high. Buybacks have been particularly concentrated at the top, with the 20 largest companies accounting for almost half of repurchases.

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BNPL
August 5, 2025
Economy

Buy-Now-Pay-Later use is expected to account for about $100 billion in transactions this year.

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Hedge Fund Performance
August 4, 2025
Economy

Trend-following hedge funds lost 9.6% in the first half of this year, on track for their worst annual performance since at least 1998. Meanwhile, hedge funds more broadly returned 4%, net of fees, while the S&P 500 delivered 6.2% to investors, including dividends.

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Cut Probability
August 1, 2025
Economy

Markets are pricing in a 64% probability of a 25bp cut in September and expect approximately 100 bps of cuts over the next year. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is trading at 4.33%, near the lower end of its year-to-date range.

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Corporate Leadership
July 30, 2025
Economy

In the Russell 3000, 41.5% of chief executives are at least 60 years old, up from 35.1% in 2017. Over the same period, the share of CEOs in their 30s and 40s has grown to 15.1% from 13.8%. People in their 50s held 51.1% of CEO seats eight years ago and now occupy 43.4%.

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UNP NSC
July 29, 2025
Economy

The $85 billion merger deal between Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern joins 50,000 miles of railroad tracks that span from the Jersey shore to the ports in California. The union would create a single company controlling coast-to-coast rail shipments for the first time in U.S. history.

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